engleski

A model of road traffic as a resource risk loss in the elderly population of Croatia

Background and Purpose: Use of the road traffic resource inevitably leads to significant human and material losses. Thus, the standardized death rate among older people (=65years) in the European Union was 19.8 in 2000 and 11.9 in 2011. Amodel is proposed of human loss through RTA to establish the main resource losses and major risk loss factors for victimization of the elderly population (=65years), as compared to the risk prone young population (18–24 years). Materials and Methods: Data on RTA in Croatia are obtained from the official government bulletin for road safety of the Ministry of the Interior for the period 2000–2011. Minimum and maximum number of victims and mean expected loss are used for determination of environmental risks and risk proneness. Results and Conclusions: Acomparative victimization analysis for Croatia for the period 2000–2011 shows significant losses for mild and severe injury to younger RT participants, increased mild injury to elderly drivers, and increased severe injury among elderly pedestrians. Risk is mostly expressed in fatal RTA for younger participants with risk proneness of 32.4 %. The most exposed RT users are: severely injured elderly drivers with unprofitable and profitable risks between 32.8 % and 50.9 %, fatally injured elderly drivers with unprofitable and profitable risks between 43.2 % and 66.1 %, and fatally injured elderly pedestrians with unprofitable and profitable risks between 93.9 % and 86.3 %. These facts demand preventive actions for these users on the side of car and road designers and traffic educators as well.

risk proneness; mean expected loss; resource environment efficiency; risk population

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