engleski

Econometric models for the forecast of traffic on Croatian motorways

The basic objective of this scientific debate is to develop an econometric model to estimate traffic on Croatian motorways. After many trial and errors procedures, two econometric models have been developed for the forecast traffic on Croatian motorways: one for average annual daily traffic (Y=-2078, 11- 280, 9GP+0, 0012RV+0, 695TA+4, 129NE, r=0, 85) and one for the average summer daily traffic (Y=7452- 1097, 55GP+0, 00746RV+2, 076TA-9, 5NE, r=0, 91). In both models, the Gross Domestic Product was reject as a direct explanatory variable. As independent (explanatory) variables in both models were selected gasoline prices (GP), the number of registered passenger vehicles (RV), the number of tourist arrivals (TA) and the number of employees (NE).

Key words: traffic, forecast, econometric, motorways

nije evidentirano