engleski

Population dynamics and fertility declines in Croatia

Population dynamics are tending to become more similar across countries. The issue is an important one, since the relative size of countries has economic and political implications ranging from financial investment strategies to the optimal design of pension systems and even military and political relationships. The recent transition of much of the European countries to negative population growth raises interesting questions about fertility. Fertility in Eastern Europe has been low or declining for at least several decades too. A recent UN research, notes that sliding birth rates may cause the population of Eastern Europe to decrease by a third in the first half of the 21st century. In Croatia the transition will continue into the 21st century and further declines in fertility and a progressive aging of populations are expected. Understanding fertility is important for examining an economy as a whole, as well as its long-term economic growth. A family’ s decision about the number of children they have and the timing of each childbirth have direct implications in terms of the size and quality of labour force, both today and tomorrow.

fertility; convergence in TFR; demographic transition

nije evidentirano