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Cohort Analysis of Female Employment in Croatia

Over the last ten years, the employment rate of women has a tendency of growth, and this development was not dominant in the ten years prior to this. Cohort analysis was applied to explain such a development in female employment in Croatia. A methodology developed by Beaudry and Lemieux (1999) was used. The employment behaviour of representative cohorts of women during their life course was analysed. The cohort employment rate was decomposed into three determinants: macroeconomic conditions, the age of women within a cohort and the influence of the cohort. The macroeconomic effect simultaneously affects all cohorts in the workforce in the same manner. The age effect demonstrates a change in the employment of the cohort over time. If the age effect is smaller for women who were born later, it means that the employment of women is less dependent on the position in the life cycle. The cohort effect reflects differences within cohorts under certain macroeconomic effects or ages, and it demonstrates whether the women who were born at a later date have a different employment in comparison with women born at an earlier date, and to what extent. The econometric model of female employment in Croatia has shown that the macroeconomic component is not significant. Over the last ten years, female employment was influenced by the age effect, the cohort effect and the interaction of these two components.

employment rate, female employment, cohort analysis, age effect, cohort effect

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