hrvatski

Primjena metode modeliranja i kontinuirane simulacije za praćenje zaraznih bolesti u populaciji i odabir strategije za njihovo suzbijan

The use of modeling and computer simulation for the monitoring of infectious diseases dynamics in populations and evaluation of control programs is presented on the model of typhoid fever as an example. Starting from the data available from vital and health statistics the simulation experiments were performed by a general continuous simulation software package, Typhus morbidity data for the period 1920-1980 in Yugoslavia and Osijck arc compared with data obtained through simulation. The consistency of these results is examined. as well as the possibility to use this modcl for epidemiological monitoring of typhoid fever and for making decisions regarding the control measures.

računalno modeliranje ; kontinuirana simulacija

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