engleski

Croatian Strategy for Low Carbon Development of Electricity Sector Until year 2050

The concept of Low Emission Development Strategies (LEDS) has been introduced by the Conference of Parties to the UNFCCC as a common but differentiated approach to meet the overall emissions reduction objectives: “All countries shall prepare Low Emission Development Strategies ...nationally-driven and represent[ing] the aims and objectives of individual Parties in accordance with national circumstances and capacities” (Cancun Agreement). The starting point of EU policy for the way towards low carbon economy is a goal of reducing greenhouse gas emissions in Power sector by 93-99% by 2050. In line with this objective, in 2014 the European Council adopted the climate-energy frame of 2030, which sets the goal of reducing emissions -40 % by 2030. Also, there is the goal of renewable energy sources to 27% and an indicative target is to reduce energy consumption by 27%. In the electricity sector, in addition to reducing greenhouse gas emissions her goal is to increase the security of energy supply, sustainability of energy supply, increase the availability of energy and reduce energy dependency. It is assumed that a number of measures can be implemented with priority in the promotion of energy efficiency, renewable energy, resource efficiency, advanced network and intelligent energy supply system, low emissions vehicles and vehicles with electric drive, energy storages but also the possible application of technology to capture and storage of CO2 in geological formations. In developing low carbon strategies was analysed a variety of scenarios. In the electricity sector challenges are numerous, in terms of the position of individual types of energy, the expected energy prices ; fulfil energy efficiency and renewable energy policies. It was analysed the costs and benefits of switching to low-carbon development scenarios. This paper presents results of work on preparation Croatian Strategy for Low Carbon Development of Electricity Sector Until. Analysis cover period until 2050. Croatian power system is modelled in PLEXOS model and several scenarios are analysed and compared. Croatian LEDS is based on analysis of three scenarios: NUR – business as usual scenario ; NU1 – huge energy efficiency measures implementations and consequently lowered electricity demand and NU2 – large scale electricity usage implementation, especially in transport sector and consequently increased electricity demand. This paper focuses on power system and Grid Stability and Reliability with large share of renewables sources (wind and PV).

Adaptation ; Mitigation ; Resilience ; Climate services ; Risk assessment ; Energy ; Transport

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