engleski

Long term energy demand projection and potential for energy savings of Croatian tourist-catering trade sector

Today, tourism represents one of the backbones of Croatian economy and one of the main factors of its growth. Having that in mind we can expect significant investments in Croatian tourism in the future, both in expanding and improving existing capacities as well as building new ones. Combined with catering trade sector, tourism represents a significant energy consumer that has the tendencies of future growth. Since services sector, which tourism-catering trade sector is a part of, is not jet well covered regarding future energy balances it would be very interesting to see how would possible future growth in tourism influence energy balance of the services sector in Croatia. Through this paper long terms energy demand projections of tourism-catering trade sector were studied with special emphasis on future growth of tourism in Croatia as well as future financial, legal and technological mechanisms that might lead to certain energy savings. TEDM (Tourism-catering trade energy demand model) was developed in order to quantify previously mentioned mechanisms that would lead to changes in energy consumption and to model the base year energy demand. Model is based upon bottom-up methodology which combines a lot of input data, roughly divided into heating/cooling section and all other consumption that would cover all other areas of tourism-catering trade sector. The Model shows certain possibilities of energy savings based on different mechanisms that are expected in the future as well as certain discrepancies from Croatian national Energy Strategy that are result of bottom-up approach in calculating future energy demand.

Energy demand; services sector; tourism-catering trade sector; long term projections; energy efficiency

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