crta
Hrvatska znanstvena Sekcija img
bibliografija
3 gif
 Naslovna
 O projektu
 FAQ
 Kontakt
4 gif
Pregledavanje radova
Jednostavno pretraživanje
Napredno pretraživanje
Skupni podaci
Upis novih radova
Upute
Ispravci prijavljenih radova
Ostale bibliografije
Slični projekti
 Bibliografske baze podataka

Pregled bibliografske jedinice broj: 967543

Zbornik radova

Autori: Brajša, Roman; Verbanac, Giuliana; Cliver, Ed; Svalgard, Leif; Hanslmeier, Arnold; Woehl, Hubertus; Roth, Martin
Naslov: A prediction for the solar cycle 24
( A prediction for the solar cycle 24 )
Izvornik: Book of Abstract - Heliophysical Phenomena and Earth's Enviroment.
Skup: Heliophysical Phenomena and Earth's Enviroment.
Mjesto i datum: Šibenik, Hrvatska, 7-13 09. 2009.
Ključne riječi: strength of the solar cycle, sunspot number, ARMA, correlation
( strength of the solar cycle, sunspot number, ARMA, correlation )
Sažetak:
Applying and combining different methods, the strength and epochs for the next 24th solar cycle are predicted. The combined method consists of the three parts: (i) the calculation of the asymmetry of the ascending and descending solar cycle phases, (ii) the correlation of the relative sunspot numbers in and around solar activity minima with the following activity maxima, and (iii) the method of the auto regressive moving average model (ARMA) applied to the relative sunspot number data measured up to now. The used data sets include yearly, corrected yearly, monthly and smoothed monthly relative sunspot number values. With these combined procedures a lower amplitude of the next solar activity maximum, in comparison with the previous one, is estimated.
Vrsta sudjelovanja: Predavanje
Vrsta prezentacije u zborniku: Sažetak
Vrsta recenzije: Međunarodna recenzija
Izvorni jezik: eng
Kategorija: Znanstveni
Znanstvena područja:
Fizika,Geofizika
Upisao u CROSBI: Giuliana Verbanac (verbanac@irb.hr), 13. Stu. 2018. u 13:43 sati



Verzija za printanje   za tiskati


upomoc
foot_4